There is a new figure in Israeli politics and his name is Yair Lapid.
To give you some background, Yair Lapid is a popular writer and broadcaster in Israel, his (short) Wiki page is
here and an excellent article summing him up in the Guardian is
here.
He announced his decision to launch a new political party when it became clear that the Knesset was about to pass a bill requiring that any journalist intending to run for political office had to have a 6 month "cooling off period" in between leaving their job and beginning their campaign.
As far as I am concerned the attempt to enact this law, which has been dubbed the
"Lapid law" due to the cynical way in which it was clearly aimed at him, is a clear measure of just how scared many of the current members of the Knesset are of the potential Lapid has to shake things up in the Knesset. Despite only making the announcement to enter politics a little over 2 weeks ago the investigations and smears have begun. Lapid is currently being investigated over the fact that he is studying for a Ph.D, naturally this is an enquiry worthy of the
Knesset Education Committee.
Despite this, Lapid is all set to be a force in the next Knesset. He is a very popular and charismatic figure here in the Holy Land and from the few statements he has made so far he seems all set to follow in his
father's footsteps. That means it is likely that he will be in favour of a strong separation of Synagogue and State as well as negotiations with the Palestinians leading to withdrawal from the West Bank, he has said in the past that he is in favour of giving up the Golan Heights for peace with Syria.
Since declaring that he is a candidate in the next election Lapid has attacked Kadima and Labour and looks to be creating his own space within the centre left. Whereas what he has to say about these 2 parties may well resonate with voters the criticism
Haaretz reported levelled against him by the Member of Knesset (MK) Nachman Shai of Kadima is also true;
"It's not yet clear what Yair Lapid brings to politics and what his political vision is; so far we only know what he isn't," Shai said, adding, "He isn't for either Kadima or Labor. But what is he for? Before he deals with other parties, he should first present his platform and his ideas.
"Meanwhile," Shai continued, "Lapid makes do with writing his weekly newspaper column and doesn't answer the tough questions of the media and the public."
Should the guesses made above as to what Lapid's policies will be prove to be correct (and lets face it, they will) the big losers in the election will be the left wing block as the fickle Israeli public switch to his new party. To be honest he isn't facing particularly daunting opposition. Labour were in disarray long before Lapid announced his political intentions and still haven't recovered from the pounding they received from the general public at the last general election when being lead by Barak. The current leader, Shelly Yachimovich, is at best an unknown quantity and at worst an entirely unknown figure who has barely made it into the consciousness of the general public since taking the reigns of the Labour party. As for Kadima they are on the verge of all out leadership contest between Livni the current head and Shaul Mofaz, yet another former Chief of Staff turned politician.
What is certain is that Lapid has breathed fresh life into Israeli politics and has injected some fear into a large swathe of MK's across the political divide. I doubt that this PhD scandal will particularly affect his popularity with potential voters and he still has plenty of time to release a manifesto stating exactly what his policies are.
Nehemia Shtrasler wrote a particularly good if typically pessimistic
assessment in Haaretz about the fickle cosmopolitan voters Lapid will be courting.